Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.003083 0.003319 0.003577 0.003883 0.004239 0.004644 0.005147
2024-12-15 0.002716 0.003026 0.003388 0.003850 0.004438 0.005181 0.006231
2024-12-22 0.002537 0.002905 0.003357 0.003973 0.004824 0.006021 0.007978
2024-12-29 0.002393 0.002799 0.003318 0.004065 0.005175 0.006902 0.010210
2025-01-05 0.002223 0.002635 0.003177 0.003986 0.005253 0.007384 0.012058
2025-01-12 0.002059 0.002463 0.003005 0.003832 0.005177 0.007575 0.013456
2025-01-19 0.001965 0.002374 0.002935 0.003818 0.005319 0.008203 0.016499
2025-01-26 0.001806 0.002186 0.002709 0.003537 0.004957 0.007727 0.015971
2025-02-02 0.001752 0.002140 0.002684 0.003567 0.005147 0.008468 0.020388
2025-02-09 0.001727 0.002132 0.002711 0.003683 0.005517 0.009778 0.030519
2025-02-16 0.001679 0.002087 0.002680 0.003697 0.005690 0.010692 0.043432
2025-02-23 0.001665 0.002090 0.002721 0.003838 0.006156 0.012748 0.100416
2025-03-02 0.001613 0.002038 0.002676 0.003833 0.006327 0.014112 0.313499
2025-03-09 0.001551 0.001967 0.002599 0.003758 0.006327 0.014906 25.286308
2025-03-16 0.001527 0.001953 0.002612 0.003858 0.006781 0.018223 NaN
2025-03-23 0.001502 0.001935 0.002615 0.003938 0.007214 0.022436 NaN
2025-03-30 0.001451 0.001874 0.002544 0.003860 0.007194 0.023920 NaN
2025-04-06 0.001391 0.001799 0.002444 0.003714 0.006946 0.023425 NaN
2025-04-13 0.001358 0.001763 0.002409 0.003700 0.007090 0.026557 NaN
2025-04-20 0.001285 0.001662 0.002259 0.003434 0.006429 0.021775 NaN
2025-04-27 0.001265 0.001643 0.002249 0.003462 0.006673 0.025679 NaN
2025-05-04 0.001259 0.001646 0.002276 0.003572 0.007211 0.035286 NaN
2025-05-11 0.001238 0.001625 0.002260 0.003585 0.007439 0.043271 NaN